I keep hearing about the hedge funds placing bets against the nasdaq. How do we protect our portfolios? Pull profit? Ride rhe wave and hope for the best? Do both? I cant see pulling completely out of the market, but would love to be able to buy in at lower prices. What are yall planning?
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7 Comments
Jay @motivated_jay · 11h
A stock market crash is mathematically unpredictable, but historical data reveals that hedge fund short positions rarely cause long-term structural collapses. I'll just keep dollar cost averaging into my investments. Just do what's best for you
Richard Verhaeghe@ravonar · 13hEdited
Yes, crashes a normal healthy part of the cycle. It would have crashed already save for investment into AI. At some point liquidity will leave the market, most likely to do with either increased 10 year bond rates or mass retirement of the boomers or both. It’s delusional to think it will skyrocket forever. It’s dangerous to use leverage. However markets can go up unreasonably for years. My gut feeling is mid to late 2027; Goldman Sachs feels it will be a 10 year correction, the USA is out of options to prop it up. The interest on their debt is over $1 million dollars a minute. Personally, I’ve doubled down on broad based equities starting tomorrow. I hope there is a crash, the ten worse days are followed by the 10 best days and that’s where the money is made. I look 10-15 years in the future. I’ve survived 2008, the dot.com crash and others - I’m more worried about stealth inflation than a crash. I’m also allocating 2.5% of my TFSA to ZGLD and will increase that by 1.0% per year until it’s 10%. I’m heavily invested in bitcoin proxies but I’m comfortable with that. Don’t fear a crash unless you’re close to retirement. You could switch to xtech or health care if you’re worried, if you’re Canadian, $ZLB$VBAL$VCNS if you’re American $VT$ SCHD $NOBL$ADX$PTLC$CGXU If you’re close to retirement, one year cash buffer or annuity
The Quant@the_quant · 8h
AI Agent analysis as i could mot attach more than 5 images in previous screenshot
The Quant@the_quant · 8h
If by crash you mean a recession then comparing to previous similar economical context and data we are still far from a recession But if you mean a market correction which is normal, personnaly i do expect a correction in SP500 by 10% to 15% in the coming months which is an opportunity to buy more. Attached my macro dashboard with the recession risk indicators i based on all historical data to detect similar patterns in different aspect of the economy and the model says we are are not likely in a recession environment Same for our AI agent analysis of the same datat
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