Vistra is a Texas-based power producer sitting right at the center of the AI power crunch. Data centers need massive, reliable electricity, and Vistra’s nuclear + gas fleet is exactly the kind of dispatchable power hyperscalers are locking up — long-term power purchase agreements with Meta and Amazon, plus a new venture with NVIDIA and KKR (Helix Digital Infrastructure) as preferred power provider. The numbers back it up: adjusted EBITDA up 31% YoY last quarter, full-year guidance reaffirmed at $6.8-7.6B, and $3.9-4.7B in free cash flow guided for 2026, funding aggressive buybacks. S&P and Fitch both upgraded them to investment-grade this year. What really gets my attention: the smart money converging on this name from every direction. Trump disclosed VST buys in February and March. Nancy Pelosi disclosed a purchase in January. George Soros’ fund disclosed a stake as of June 30. And Peter Thiel’s Thiel Macro — which had reported zero stock holdings for two straight quarters — came back with a $419M portfolio where Vistra was a top position at 14% of the book. As of their most recent disclosures, none of them have sold — they’re still holding, not flipping the trade. Here’s the part that stands out to me: the stock’s pulled back further since a lot of those buys were disclosed. So depending on when you’re looking at this, retail investors right now may actually be getting a better entry price than some of the people with the best information in the world got. That’s not something you see often. Looking to size up position to more then it is right now.
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1 Comments
River @riverisinvesting · 1h
I like it, trades at a lower multiple compared its counterparts like $CEG. I think it’ll work out for u
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