Please no โit depends.โ If someone forced you to choose one exact date when this whole chain starts consistently moving upward, what would you say? First, this is absolutely not my area of expertise. Iโm not pretending I created some magical guess. This is simply where Iโve landed after hear cycle bitcoin nerds talk & arguments from both sides. ๐ My forced guess: November 23, 2026. I donโt mean all three suddenly explode that morning ๐ I mean thatโs roughly when I think the real bottom could finally be behind us and the next consistent climb begins. Why that late? The classic four-year-cycle theory would place: 2025 as the peak year 2026 as the correction and bottoming year 2027 as the recovery year 2028 as the next halving year ๐ Current research says Bitcoin is building a bottom, but the process still isnโt confirmed. ๐ฆ ETFs and institutional buyers may weaken the old four-year cycle, but that could create a slower, steadier recovery instead of another instant rocket. My rough expectation: โฟ $BTC turns first in late 2026 ๐ $MSTR reacts harder once Bitcoin holds its recovery โ๏ธ $MSTE starts visibly repairing through early 2027 Because $MSTE writes covered calls on up to half its position, I donโt think one violent $MSTR spike fixes everything. It probably needs several months of rising $MSTR , strong volatility, and NAV rebuilding. So if Iโm forced to choose: ๐ฏ The turn begins November 23, 2026. ๐ The bigger move becomes clearer during 2027. Could this be completely wrong? Easily. Itโs an exact-date guessing game, not financial advice. ๐ซต Your turn: What exact date would you choose? How many $MSTE shares do you own? What percentage of your portfolio is it? And where are you holding it: TFSA, RRSP, FHSA, or non-registered?
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