S&P 500
๐จ The S&P 500's 100 year rhythm says this bull market still has years left, but one trader breaking down the $SPX chart says this time is different.
For a century the pattern held: roughly 25 years of expansion, then 9 to 12 years of decline. Over and over.
Every past expansion rode a technology that took decades to fully price in. Railroads. Electricity. The internet.
AI allegedly didn't get that runway. It got repriced in about two years, compressing a multi-decade move into a blink.
And now the warning signs are stacking up:
โ Valuations near historical extremes
โ Smart money quietly cutting exposure
โ Distribution signals showing up everywhere
โ Insiders selling
โ Buffett sitting on record cash
โ Burry comparing the setup to 1999
The 25 year cycle only holds if the catalyst keeps driving growth for decades. If the market already priced in those decades in two, there's nothing left to grow into. Just a lot of air under the price.
The next major move won't wait for everyone to agree. It never does.
Not financial advice. Do your own research.
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