Portfolio is down 8% vs $SPY -5% YTD is this the best you can do Trump? š This market is tiring & choppy. Trump says thereās a deal ā¦market pumps then Iran says heās lyingā¦market dumps š Iām TIRED I might be jinxing it because it can get a lot worse before it gets better. At first I ignored the Iran war noise but I noticed it started affecting the Macro (something I pay attention to) Rising oil prices increases inflation & this puts a stop to interest rate cuts. In fact it raises the chances of higher interest rates which will cause the market to crash. High growth stocks especially AI related stocks will feel It the most š¢ (a sector Iām heavily invested into) Because AI stocks are borrowing money to grow and higher rates will give poor earning results something we saw in the 2022 bear market. That is why you saw me reduce the high beta stocks like $IREN$NBIS$ZETA because they are most affected by interest rates Now itās very hard to predict the outcome of wars but one thing we know is Trump pays attention to markets & macro. He doesnāt want higher inflation , high interest rates (10y yields) & a poor stockmarket. He measures his success with these 3 things. So will he TACO š®? Wars donāt affect stock fundamentals and the market has always gone up BUT when macro is affected it definitely affects stock fundamentals over timeā¦ I warned my discord group last year that 2026 would be a volatile/weak year especially because it was a presidential midterm year & the fact that the market has been going up for 3 years a correction is needed. For this reason we kept trimming our positions & kept our cash balance between 10-30% & right now I see a lot of good opportunities š But even if the war ended tomorrow and the market hits ath I still think thereās more pain this year as the damage is done & central banks are uncertain. Regarding my portfolio Iām not too worried itās down 8% YTD which is a 1.5x on SPY. But I wanted to share my losses to my audience to show that you are not alone in this pain. Iāve been transparent with my portfolio on social media for 5 years, some of you have seen me go from 10k to 500k and I will continue to share the journey until $1m (hopefully)šš½ Stocks im focused on buying are stocks that are already working. Large tech , Ai infrastructure & index funds. 2026 is about positioning and setting yourself up for 2027-2028. Good luck , we got this š„
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117 Comments
Jesse Franklin@pinnaclewealth Ā· 4mo
Great post - I am fortunately up 24% YTD
Carmelo Treviso@ctreviso21 Ā· 4mo
Stop blaming Trump. He's not your fund manager
Catherine @ffcatherine Ā· 4mo
Iām down a lot too But i understand Iām in tech which I do believe in long term & in 15+ yrs itāll pay off
Osmel @osmel86 Ā· 4mo
Up 66.22% YTD counting my options portfolio š¤š¾š¤š¾
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