$SPCX Down 41% from the $225 ATH. Trading at $133. Euphoria at $225 → flush to $105 → Denial rally to $176 → and now the phase nobody wants to trade This isn't a crash. It's a handoff from weak hands to strong hands. Follow the supply. Unlocks keep hitting the market, last tranche Dec 8 Headlines turn ugly, volume dries up, retail gets bored, while big capital quietly absorbs every share. That's classic accumulation. The business isn't the problem, the float is. Q2 revenue +92%, Starlink at 12M subs, $100B in cash Fundamentals grow while price shrinks, and that gap fuels violent moves. My bottom zone: $80-$90, timing: December. Bounces to $120-$140 are sucker's rallies. The bottom will feel like death. Flat. Boring. Ignored. That silence IS the accumulation Then the structure flips: Higher lows → reclaim of $140 = confirmation → Belief at $200 → Vertical • Invalidation: daily close above $180 Keep dry powder ready. Bottoms don't send invitations
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