$CRWV has been down approx. 20% over the past 6 months (40% over the past 13 months). What’s the consensus on Blossom? Buy the dip or get out while I can? I don’t have a huge position… just curious what others are thinking.
Week 24 of the $1K → $1M Stock Flipping Challenge 📈 Current trade: Oracle Corporation Starting balance: $1,000 New balance: $913 Goal: doubling my money every time until I reach $1M It’s not about hitting home runs — it’s about consistent growth and smart trades. I buy great stocks that I believe are undervalued and wait for them to go up 100%. Then I sell and buy the next stock with the amount accumulated until i complete 10 trades. That would give me $1M starting with only $1,000. You think I can pull this off? Week 24 is in the books. Let’s see what Week 25 brings. Follow the journey 📊 $ORCLread more
$MRVL I $MVLL Marvell continues to look very constructive, with a clean sequence of higher lows and higher highs. The breakout above the base pivot followed by a successful retest is exactly the kind of action you want to see.
Why I’m short IREN? 1) Dependent on multi billion dollar contracts from only a small number of customers to make their business viable. If just ONE pulls the plug, watch out! 2) High Capex and debt servicing costs. 9% interest on private credit + convertible bonds that expire in 2033. They enjoy 1% int rate on the bonds but what do you think will happen when they expire? This is where things could get ugly. 3) Unsustainable hardware depreciation which could become a real Capex trap.
I like recurring revenue models. This subscription revenue from Cyberhawk/services is extremely appealing. Check this out... - 112% net retention rate. - 95% is recurring revenue. - Software: $7.6M ARR target. - Shell, QatarEnergy, PG&E, SSE, etc... Ondas is clearly acquiring the technology to be consider a vertically integrated technology leader and prime U.S. defense contractor. I get it, shareholders - it's not awesome to see dilution, but don't pretend like you don't know why/where it's happening/going. And yes - clearly a large portion of business is product/development related, but think bigger picture. Development = hardware sales = integration = application layer = maintenance/services. It's obvious this is an ecosystem play. In my opinion - Ondas is drawing similar strategical "ecosystem" parallels to Voyager. Can you spot the innovative MOAT, integations, partnerships and recurring revenue model embedded within? Now, I'm just starting my research - but I think these are both two companies that share a similar mandate... Both appear to be assembling ecosystems of complementary technologies to modernize industries dominated by entrenched giants. These often are industries where ridiculous tax payer or corporate spending often delivers slow innovation cycles or underwhelming value in return. It seems there is shared ambition: better technology, faster deployment, greater value. Each company has attracted the attention of "value juggernauts" like Palantir or Anduril, forming partnerships and strategic integrations through shared values and aspirations. Perhaps a complimentary duo in the modern-defense-complex. Honestly, I won't sugarcoat dilution - but the game-plan looks freaking obvious... Investments like these need investors who can think long-term, understand a strategic roadmap, and find trust in a founding management team. $ONDS$VOYGread more
I know, we’re taking a hit remember where we were a year ago? Remember what I said about Amat (check the pin post) When it comes to politics and understanding what it means to solve issues Today's news helps the general toolmaker framing. Applied is putting $5B into a facility where chipmakers, systems companies, and universities develop next-gen process tech on its equipment. That's the "value accrues to the toolmaker" dynamic in physical form: customers codeveloping inside Applied's walls, which deepens lock in. It also fits the "8 quarters of visibility" argument. So why? Chip R&D has been done in separate stages. Materials research happens in one place, equipment and process development in another, and integration and pilot production in a third, with a handoff between each. The release says EPIC removes those handoffs by putting the people who invent the materials, build the tools, and make the chips in one facility. At today's complexity (3D memory, advanced packaging, new transistor structures), those layers depend on each other so tightly that sequential handoffs cost years Why rivals cooperate? Well Each partner keeps its chip designs proprietary. What they share is the equipment and materials layer, where the problem is too big for any one company. The release frames it that way, and it describes secure learning cycles, so each customer's work stays walled off from the others. Applied is the neutral party in the middle. And guess what? This is how ASML got its position. In 2012, Intel, TSMC, and Samsung all invested in ASML to speed up EUV, because no one customer could carry the risk. The toolmaker became the convergence point for the whole industry. EPIC looks like Applied trying to build that same position across materials, process, and packaging. Like always my friends I’ll keep you posted read more
I bought more $AMD today, and here’s why. AI isn’t slowing down, and the demand for computing power continues to grow. AMD is positioning itself to compete in the AI chip market while still having a strong business in CPUs and data centers. I love the long-term opportunity here. NVIDIA may be the leader today, but I believe there’s room for multiple winners as AI infrastructure expands. I know AMD comes with risk, and competition is fierce. But I’m investing for where I think this industry is headed over the next 5–10 years, not just where it is today. Are you buying $AMD at these levels, or are you sticking with $NVDA? 👇
Full honesty up front. I am long $MU, I have several short dated positions on, and they need some pump. Instead they got two straight red days off a headline: CXMT, a Chinese memory maker, claims a new cell design called 4F2, and the whole memory trade sold off like the cycle ended. Tuesday's closes: $MU fell another 3.6% to 953, down about 7.4% from Friday, and lost the 978 to 980 pocket on a close. Korea was worse, SK hynix down over 10%, Samsung about 7%, the KOSPI tripped a circuit breaker. $ASML closed at about 1,718, down 1.9%, into its own report tomorrow. $TSM held up best, basically flat at about 445. That is the hole I am in, and $ASML Wednesday plus $TSM Thursday are the two prints that can fill it, because they hold the industry's actual order books. Quick RSI check on $MU RSI is a 0 to 100 score: above 70 overbought, 40 to 60 the middle, below 30 oversold, below 20 panic. Read weekly for trend, daily for the swing, hourly for timing. On $MU the weekly sits about 58, cooled not washed. The daily is in the low 40s after two red days, and the 2-day is pinned near zero. Short term washed, trend not repaired. Repair needs a catalyst. These prints, plus Wednesday's CPI, are it. Why these two decide it $ASML sells the machines memory is made with, and this year it projected memory systems growth over 75% on HBM demand. The key math: one gigabyte of HBM eats about three times the wafer space of normal memory, so HBM orders force triple the machine buying. If $ASML says memory orders are still ripping, supply stays tight and $MU keeps printing. If orders slow, the glut story has legs. $TSM is the gate every AI chip and HBM stack passes through, in its CoWoS packaging lines. Its quarter revenue is already out, a record about $46.7 billion, up 51%, so Thursday is not about revenue. It is about margin, spending, and whether packaging is still sold out. Last quarter its CEO said he is jealous of memory makers and their 86% margins. That is the market CXMT is supposedly about to crack. The CXMT pushback, in one breath Bank of America's team has been arguing this threat does not hold up, and the facts lean their way. CXMT has shown a design, not production: no disclosed yields, die sizes, capacity, or customer qualifications, and no proof it can build 4F2 at scale. Its DDR5 cost per bit is estimated 30% or more above the big three, and Apple reportedly walked away from its memory over price. Meanwhile regular DRAM contract prices are still forecast to rise 10 to 15% next quarter, and $MU guides supply tight through 2027 and 2028 with most of its 2027 HBM already spoken for. A lab result is not supply, and supply is what crashes prices. What I need from $ASML, Wednesday • Revenue at the top of the guide, around 12 billion euros, full year guide of 43 to 45 billion held or raised. • Memory and HBM called out strong, orders firm, and the plan for about 30% more EUV machines in 2027 said with confidence. • Services money steady around 2.9 billion euros, the toll on every machine already out there. Same morning brings CPI, so $MU gets two binary prints before lunch. That risk is part of the position. What I need from $TSM, Thursday • Gross margin at or above about 66%, high in the 65 to 67 guide despite the new 2nm drag. • The 60 to 64 billion dollar spending plan held. It is the best single proxy for the AI buildout, and a chunk of it flows to $ASML and the memory chain. • Packaging still sold out, expansion on track, and next year talked up, not talked down. What hurts • Soft bookings at $ASML, or a spending trim at $TSM. Either one is the oversupply story getting real evidence. • A hot core CPI Wednesday. My rate lines stand: 10-year close under 5.00% is the flip I want, over 5.31% kills the rate side of this trade. • $MU under here has roughly 935, then the round 900. Recovery has to retake levels in order, on closes: 980, then 989 to 1,000, then the 1,011 to 1,020 flip zone. Bottom line Neither print settles $MU's own HBM share fight, that is $MU earnings business, and I am not pretending otherwise. But if the two companies holding the order books say demand still outruns supply, this week was a headline flush in a shortage market, and the memory trade can recover into Friday. If they blink, I am wrong in size and I will know it from numbers, not headlines. Hope is not confirmation, price still has to do its part, and I am sized like that is true. I watch the flow and positioning into these prints on TraderMatrix Pro. My link: https://www.tradermatrix.pro/?ref=FZ9MX6FC. It is an affiliate link, I earn a commission if you sign up, no fake discount. Buying the CXMT flush here, or is this the week the memory cycle actually cracks? Not financial advice. Just my notebook, position disclosed up top. $MU$ASML$TSM$SMHread more
I added another 40 shares to my $LUNR position today at $12.22. That bumped my position up by 40%, and it now makes up 1.86% of my portfolio. My thesis hasn’t changed. The Lanteris acquisition turned Intuitive Machines into an end-to-end space company, which means it can go after a much wider range of government and commercial contracts. The fundamentals look stronger than ever, even though the stock has pulled back. The stock is trading near its 200 week SMA, which is the average price over almost the last four years. A lot of long-term buyers watch that level, and it gives me a spot I’m comfortable building around. Why DCA instead of one big buy? I don’t know if this is the exact bottom, and spreading my buys out lets me build a solid average price without needing to time it perfectly. This is still a high risk, high reward name, so I’m sizing it that way. I’m in it for the long term and plan to keep adding around these levels.
Artificial intelligence has already created trillions in wealth, but the next big investment opportunity could be even bigger in robotics. Morgan Stanley estimates the humanoid robotics market could surpass $5 TRILLION by 2050, with nearly ONE BILLION robots operating worldwide. Here's what I'm covering in the video: 🔹 $5 TRILLION Opportunity: How AI is finally giving robots the intelligence to learn, adapt, and perform real-world tasks. 🔹 The Next Nvidia? Why robotics could create an entirely new generation of trillion-dollar companies. 🔹 Invest BEFORE the IPO: Companies like Figure, Apptronik, Standard Bots, and Dyna Robotics are still private, limiting access for everyday investors. 🔹 ONE Stock to Watch: RoboStrategy $BOT offers exposure to a portfolio of public and private robotics companies through a Nasdaq-traded fund. 🔹 The BIG Valuation Risk: Why BOT's stock price and underlying net asset value (NAV) can be VERY different! ⚠️ Robotics could be a massive long-term opportunity, but timing, valuations, and execution risks matter. Watch today's video for my full analysis of BOT and how to invest in the robotics revolution! https://youtu.be/vFGkr80KPBwread more
Everyone’s worried about Chinese competition, but I think they’re missing something CXMT is mainly expanding in regular DRAM used for phones and computers while Micron’s HBM is a different game. AI chips need specialized memory, and you can’t just swap suppliers overnight like it’s nothing. Micron has already secured a lot of future demand, and AI data centres are still going to need massive amounts of memory. If supply stays tight and demand keeps growing memory prices and Micron’s earnings could go a lot higher. Obviously memory is cyclical and competition will eventually matter. But I think the market might be pricing in the fear before it shows up in Micron’s actual business. That’s why I’m watching the fundamentals instead of just panicking over the headlines. 👀Not selling my position.
Micron is still a buy. When it hits $1,200, sell a bit because I expect a small correction. Then do the same at $1,500 so we have cash ready to buy the dip. We’re going to have plenty of dips along the way. The goal is to make money, not become a professional bag holder.
New traders ask me the same thing: if a floor is support, why does it keep breaking? Here's the answer, live today. $ASML , the company that builds the machines that make the chips, reports tomorrow. It didn't wait. The stock lost its floor today, closing at 1,717.8, under the 1,739.0 line it had been holding. The selling got there before the news did. Nvidia did the opposite. It traded down to 223.1 during the day, under its 224.5 floor, then closed back above it at 228.5. So which one broke? Only $NVDA 's held, because I count the close, not the intraday poke. A wick through a line is noise. A close through it is information. That's what a floor is really for: not a wall that holds the price, but a line that tells you fast when you're wrong. Do you trade off the close, or off what the screen shows you midday? Not investment advice. Find more on my newsletter 🐝read more
NVIDIA $NVDA IS IN EARLY TALKS TO ACQUIRE OR INVEST MORE IN AMERICAN OPEN-WEIGHT AI STARTUP REFLECTION AI The Financial Times reports the deal structures under discussion include: - An "acqui-hire," where Nvidia hires staff and licenses the technology - A deal to supply Reflection AI with more chips - A larger Nvidia equity stake A deal could come in the coming weeks, but talks could still fall apart. read more
Project Kuiper is basically Amazon's answer to Starlink. Now, many reports suggest that it will start between late 2026 to early 2027. Now that SpaceX is innovating and improving their technology so much, I personally think that It'll be hard for Amazon to get into this market and scale. Unless, they do something where they bundle it with their Amazon Prime Subscription meaning 2 tiers 1 which is the normal Amazon Prime tier and the other which is the Amazon Prime + the internet service. And, if they can be somewhat successful and/or scale quickly do you think this can be a major part of Amazon's revenue? Now, looking on the affect on SpaceX this could potentially be the silent killer of Starlink. I think so because one, Amazon are very trusted and two, they already have a huge customer base. I'm still bullish on SpaceX but, this could be a threat to Starlink very soon. Lmk what you think. I'm down for a discussion in the comments!
Micron dropped ~4% yesterday because a Chinese company gave a presentation. CXMT — a Chinese memory maker you never heard of — announced over the weekend that its DRAM cell design is getting smaller. That was the whole story. A slide deck. And Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix all bled ~4%. Billions of dollars, gone, over a press release. The punchline: CXMT's tech trails the big three by two or three generations. Apple tried to buy from them back in July and walked away when CXMT demanded prices HIGHER than Samsung's. A high schooler announcing they're "in training" just moved LeBron's stock price. Hot take: DRAM is a commodity cosplaying as a tech stock. Micron's adjusted gross margin hit 87% last quarter — record, insane, and 100% temporary. This industry has been boom-and-bust since the 90s: everyone prints money, everyone builds too much, prices crater. Every. Single. Time. Watching MU 👀 because today's "AI moat" is tomorrow's rice in a bag.
Apple just launched their answer to Google Nest and Amazon Echo called the Apple HomeView. Not just that, they are launching a 4k TV. And, the homeview will run on Siri AI which I'm pretty sure is just Gemini. Not to forget, they are also launching a doorbell camera similar to ring owned by Amazon and this will be built in collaboration with LG Is this bullish for Apple? Lmk your opinion in the comments!
South Korea’s stock market is having a rough session. 🇰🇷📉 The KOSPI is selling off hard, with the big semiconductor names taking much of the pressure. This doesn't bode well for the NASDAQ tomorrow. What makes this interesting is that Korea has been one of the clearest beneficiaries of the AI and memory-chip boom. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix sit right in the middle of that trade, so when investors start questioning AI valuations, semiconductor demand, or the broader macro backdrop, Korea can get hit especially hard. There also appears to be a broader risk-off element at work: foreign selling, geopolitical uncertainty, and pressure from higher energy prices can all matter more for an export-heavy market like South Korea. For long-term investors, days like this are worth watching because sharp selloffs can sometimes create opportunities; but a falling price alone does not make a stock cheap. I'll be watching: • Whether earnings expectations are actually changing; • Whether memory pricing and AI demand remain intact; • Valuation versus normalized earnings; • Whether foreign selling is temporary or signalling something more fundamental. I’m not rushing to buy simply because prices are falling, but South Korea is definitely moving higher on my watchlist. SK Hynix was already of interest; that just intensified and I may very well take a position, although risks abound as stated above. Not financial advice | Do your own due diligence read more
Apparently $IREN is signing a potential deal with Anthropic... The deal is part of Anthropic's latest tranche of roughly $530 billion of data center leases. Last week alone $IREN dropped 13%, and it's down almost 18% in the last month. The bulls are saying it's 50% undervalued, with some fair value estimates as high as $90. The bears say 19x sales for an unprofitable company is a lot to pay right now, especially with dilution and Bitcoin exposure in the mix. Both sides have a point. Where do you land on $IREN here?read more
Amazon $AMZN is reportedly in talks to buy AI startup Decart for ~$7B. What does Decart do? 🎬 Edits live video in real time 🤖 Generates simulated worlds to train robots and self-driving systems ⚡ Software that makes AI models run faster on the same chips Why it matters for Amazon? - Real-time AI video could show up in Prime Video, ads and Twitch - Robot simulation fits its warehouse automation - Cheaper AI inference means better margins on AWS Decart was valued at ~$4B in May. Now $AMZN is preparing to offer ~$7B. Anthropic also looked at this deal last month and walked away after failed due diligence. Is this bullish for $AMZN?read more
$META just launched Muse Wonder, its first true frontier AI model. What it does $META built it for personal and professional tasks, from navigating an insurance claim to making sense of a lease to building a working app. The main features of Muse Wonder: Active Memory: it retains your conversation history, preferences and habits. Active Focus: it carries complex or ambiguous tasks through to completion without pausing. On the Artificial Analysis index, Wonder scored 52 and Wonder Full scored 56, up from 48 for Muse Spark 1.3 just six weeks earlier. That's a big jump in a short amount of time. Why you should care Wonder will soon power the Muse agent, rolling out to subscribers first ($20 and $100 monthly plans). A better model gives people a reason to pay, which means subscription revenue on top of the ad business. The risk The real test is whether it shares Wonder usage or subscription numbers with its next quarterly results. The benchmark scores also come from $META's own testing and a third-party index, so real-world performance still has to prove itself. $META finally has a frontier model to show for its spending. Now it has to turn it into revenue. Are you buying, holding, or waiting for proof? 👇read more
